> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://onchain-cc.gitbook.io/onchain-docs/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://onchain-cc.gitbook.io/onchain-docs/predictions/overview.md).

# Predictions Overview

Predictions lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events — buy **Yes** or **No**, and settle at resolution. Markets are powered by **Polymarket**, the largest prediction-market protocol, traded through the onchain.cc terminal with the same account you use everywhere else.

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## How prediction markets work

Every market is a question with a defined resolution — *"Will X happen by Y?"* — and two sides:

* Shares are priced in **cents**, from 1¢ to 99¢. The price is the market's implied probability: a Yes share at 62¢ means the market prices a 62% chance.
* When the market resolves, **winning shares pay out $1.00 each**; losing shares expire at zero.
* You don't have to wait for resolution — shares trade continuously on a live order book, so you can take profit or cut a loss whenever the price moves.

**Example:** you buy 100 Yes shares at 40¢ ($40). The event happens → your shares are worth $100 at resolution. It doesn't → they're worth $0. If the odds move to 70¢ before resolution, you can sell for $70 without waiting.

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## What you can trade

The discovery page covers the full Polymarket universe, organised by category:

**Politics · Sports · Crypto · Esports · Economy · Finance · Tech · Culture · World · Geopolitics · Elections · Weather** — plus a **Trending** front page and your **Watchlist**.

On top of the category bar you'll find topic filters, search, sorting (volume, liquidity, newest, ending soon, competitive), live sports scores on game markets, a biggest-movers rail, and **Live Crypto** — the recurring short-interval [Up/Down markets](/onchain-docs/predictions/updown.md) on BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP.

Star any event to pin it to your Watchlist. Card and table views are both available.

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## The market page

Each market page gives you the full trading picture:

* **Probability chart** — price history over 1H to all-time ranges
* **Order book** — live bids and asks with depth
* **Order panel** — buy/sell, market/limit, with a payout preview
* **Rules** — the market's exact resolution criteria (read these before trading)
* **Positions & orders** — your exposure in this market
* Multi-outcome events (elections, tournaments) list every outcome with its own price

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## Quick facts

|                 |                                                                                                                                               |
| --------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Trading balance | USDC (Predictions has its own balance — see [How to Trade](/onchain-docs/predictions/how-to-trade.md))                                        |
| Minimum order   | \~$1                                                                                                                                          |
| Minimum deposit | $2                                                                                                                                            |
| Order types     | Market and limit                                                                                                                              |
| Payout          | $1.00 per winning share, claimable after resolution                                                                                           |
| Fees            | 0.50% per order (capped on low-priced shares), shown before you confirm — with 25–50% back as [cashback](/onchain-docs/colosseum/cashback.md) |

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{% hint style="info" %}
Prediction markets are unavailable or trade-restricted in some jurisdictions. If you're in one, you'll see a notice — browsing may still work, but placing orders won't. See our [Terms of Use](https://onchain.cc/terms/#restricted) for details.
{% endhint %}